I'm going to take a wait-and-see attitude. Anybody who has come to the conclusion that these are the final lines that people will run in in June of next year may have another think coming.
Set aside that the L.A. Times put in "think" instead of "thing." I count 16 California congressmen who have yet to announce their intentions. We can set aside Nancy Pelosi, Barbara Lee, Jackie Speier, Sam Farr, Devin Nunes, Kevin McCarthy, Susan Davis, and Maxine Waters. There's no indication any of them are retiring and none of them has a challenger either in their party or the opposition. They may have announced and there is just nothing on the web confirming it or may not feel the need to announce.
It's the other eight representatives that are up in the air. David Dreier appears to have the same attitude Jerry Lewis has that these aren't going to be the final lines. No one has made moves to challenge these lines, however, not even MALDEF, who sues pretty much everywhere. So I have no idea what mechanism they think will change the lines, let alone that new lines will be more favorable to them. You can put your head in the sand, but to what end? Declaring where you intend to run under these lines doesn't preclude changes.
The other six reps, Joe Baca, Dennis Cardoza, Linda Sanchez, Buck McKeon, Elton Gallegly, and Dan Lungren, either have two districts to choose from or may be weighing retirement. Gallegly may be waiting on McKeon's decision and will run in the safe CA-25 if McKeon doesn't. Linda Sanchez's current district is in the new 38, 40, and 44. Grace Napolitano is running in CA-38, Louise Royball-Allard is running in CA-40, while both Laura Richardson and Janice Hahn are running in CA-44. I have no idea what she'll do.
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