Monday, July 30, 2012

California Polling

CA-52 - A poll for Democrat Scott Peters has him tied at 40% with Congressman Brian Bilbray.

CA-26 - A poll for Democrat Julia Brownley has her leading Republican Tony Strickland by 4 points.
v CA-24 - As noted earlier, a Republican poll had Republican Abel Maldonado trailing Congresswoman Lois Capps by 2 points.

CA-47 - Dueling polls had Democrat Alan Lowenthal up 11 points in the Democratic poll, but leading Republican Gary DeLong by only 3 in the Republican poll.

You don't usually get this much congressional polling this early, but clearly the parties see California as a major House battleground. I would've expected Scott Peters to be leading based on the primary results. Yet he doesn't lead in his own poll. The Brownley and Lowenthal leads in their polls make sense to me, as I view CA-26 as a toss-up and Lowenthal a good favorite in CA-47. The CA-24 poll is the only one disappointing for the Republicans. I evaluated this race as a toss-up. So Maldonado should be leading in a Republican poll.

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