In a move that should surprise no one, the backers of Prop. 40, the prop to overturn the senate maps, have decided not to back it. The California Supreme Court was supposed to impose interim maps because the current maps would be suspended if the proposition made the ballot. They chose to use the current maps as interim maps.
This year's districts are not only drawn in an unfavorable manner but the ones included give Democrats a seat in Riverside county for two years that they won't be able to defend in 2014. Republicans have 6 current senators up in 2014. The commission could've put 6 safe Republican seats up that year. Instead they took one away from 2012 and put it into 2014. They are certain to win 7 and may win as many as 9.
Almost any other court drawn map would be better for Republicans in 2012, but it's possible a new map drawn for 2014 could be drawn in a similar unfavorable way that the GOP would only have 5 safe seats. They'd put those 2 additional seats up in 2016. Knowing that if the proposition passes the GOP end up being in worse shape the backers of Prop. 40 decided not to support it.
It's a wise move.
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