Monday, October 29, 2012

California Absentee Analysis 10/29

With another 370k VBM ballots in we've cleared 2.1 million. This is now 14.6% of the total anticipated ballots. Since Whites are more likely to be VBM, the total ballots in CA-10, 24, 36, and 52 is at or above 25%. The good news for Democrats is that their electorate advantage went from 5.9% to kkkkkn

CA-16 continues to move leftward, while CA-21 moves further to the right. The only other congressional districts with movement are CA-41 and 47, both moving slightly more Democratic.

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