Friday, October 28, 2016

2016 Presidential Polls 10/28/16

Since last Friday the state and national polls have been moving toward Donald Trump. The state polls show Clinton +6.1, compared to Clinton +6.7 a week ago, and the national polls have gone from Clinton +6.5 to 5.5. (spreadsheet here) The discrepancy is likely due to lightly polled states that haven't been polled in the last week. If we look only at swing state polls only the Clinton lead is around 5.0 points. The non-swing states aren't necessarily closer than the numbers in the spreadsheet, so the spread might be 5.5 points.

Of course today's FBI bombshell could change things dramatically.

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