Thursday, September 25, 2014

CA-10: Eggman's internal has him down 8

CA-10 is one of the three California districts held by Republicans that Barack Obama won in 2012. That makes it a prime pick-up opportunity for Democrats. They failed to get a top quality recruit, however, and ended up with beekeeper Michael Eggman. Democrats have tried to push him as a strong challenger, even producing a poll showing that a Democrat would beat incumbent Republican Jeff Denham. Any thought that the district could be competitive was dismissed when Denham got 59% of the vote in the primary.

Eggman's campaign has produced a poll showing their candidate down 8 points. I suppose when your opponent won the primary by 18%, being down 8 doesn't look so bad. The problem is that we're less than six weeks from election day and 8 points down won't cut it. He needs to be down 4-5 at most to generate any interest in the race. This isn't enough to get anyone behind him. I'm guessing an independent pollster will have Denham up comfortably by double digits.

No comments:

Post a Comment