Sunday, January 13, 2013

CA-52 in 2014

CA-52 contains a lot of precincts where neither candidate got 60%. You don't usually see that. Defeated Republican congressman Brian Bilbray did top 60% in most of Poway, Coronado, Pomerado, and parts of Rancho Bernardo. You'd expect Escondido in the district, but they've separated it from neighboring areas. For years San Diego has had a North County-South County voter divide and this district has a little more of South County than Republicans would like. A Republican needs to do better in the North County part of the district, while holding their own in South County.

Brian Bilbray hadn't lived in the district until 2011. He grew up in Imperial Beach and represented the 49th there. Then he moved to Carlsbad to run for the 50th. You'd hope that someone like Poway mayor Don Higginson would have a base in north county to enable him to ring up good numbers there.

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