Thursday, August 30, 2012

Democratic Internal Polls

There have been a plethora of Democratic internal polls released both nationally and in California. We've had polls on CA-41, CA-9, as well as CA-26, CA-47, and CA-52. We can add CA-7 and CA-3 to that list.

There have been a couple of Republican polls. Campaigns put out internals to show the race being closer than it is if they're the underdog or a bigger lead if they're the favorite. Polls can easily be skewed by the questions or by reweighting based on expected turn-out.

It's a sign that things aren't rosy for the Democratic party that there have been a lot more Democratic polls than Republican ones. On the other hand, Democrats have led or tied in all the polls. When a campaign releases a poll showing them "as close as" 9 point, throw dirt on them.

I'm skeptical Bera is really in this race, although I wouldn't dismiss him. Garamendi is likely doing well, but not that well.

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