Last year we expected to have 13 competitive congressional races. That was reduced to 12 when the Top Two in CA-31 produced two Republicans. The races in CA-9, 16, 21, 24, 41, and 47 produced wins of 11-18 points and probably couldn't be called competitive. Democrats won five of those and it seems unlikely that the GOP will compete in those five, even in a Republican leaning year. Democrats have made noise about competing in CA-21, but so far lack a candidate.
That leaves CA-3, 7, 10, 26, 31, 36, and 52. Five of those are Democratic occupied seats and two are Republican. Assemblyman Dan Logue will announce his challenge to John Garamendi in CA-3 next week. The district appears to be a tough one for the GOP, since Garamendi won by 8.5%. I've covered CA-10 and 31 in previous posts. I'll cover the others in posts this week.
The Republican senate nominee in 2012, Elizabeth Emken, is running for congress in the Sacramento area CA-7. She only recently moved to the district. She got 46.5% of the vote in the district in 2012. That was okay and only 1.8% less than Dan Lungren got in the congressional race. Former congressman Doug Ose appears ready to announce. Rightondaily.com is reporting that Tom McClintock staffer Igor Birman will also run. He's their candidate of choice. It's a quality GOP field. The Republican who emerges should provide Bera with a tough challenge.
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