Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Dan Lungren and CA-7

Full Disclosure: I interviewed Dan Lungren for Where's The Party? He was the only interviewee to write me a thank you note.
Democrats are once again targeting congressman Dan Lungren and Lungren isn't going to go quietly.

CA-7 has the second highest variance of California congressional districts between Carly Fiorina's 2010 senate numbers and Meg Whitman's 2010 gubernatorial numbers. The district is R+2 with Fiorina, but D+2 with Whitman. The Obama-McCain numbers are R+1. Democrats jumped on the Whitman-Brown numbers and decided the district leans Democratic. Then I read this:

However, strong performance by a Democratic candidate for governor, particularly one running against Meg Whitman who was campaigning for pension reform, in this state-employee heavy district does not translate to an easy path for a Democrat challenging a Republican incumbent for Congress.

That's a good explanation. Fiorina won 49.4%-43.5%. Whitman lost 49.5%-44.5%. The 5% of government workers who backed Fiorina jumped to Brown due to Whitman's pension reform stand. This district leans Republican.

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