I found updated absentee numbers. Looks close, doesn't it? It might be closer. AI is the California version of the Constitution Party, a group who thinks Republicans are too liberal. They vote Republican, as do Libertarians. Green and Peace and Family vote Democratic.
I'm going to make two assumptions based on a Democratic poll for Dailykos/SEIU.
1. Huey will get 9% of the Democratic vote to Hahn's 6% of the Republican vote.
2. Huey will beat Hahn by 10 points, 55%-45%, with independents.
Since this poll is likely skewed Democratic those are reasonable assumptions. After doing that Huey actually had a lead of approximately 21,485 to 21,042. It may be dead even going into today.
I've heard a lot of confidence from Democrats, "we'll win anyway," and the media assumes she will too.
Maybe they're right, but I can guarantee you this campaign will working for every vote until the polls close at 8 PM tonight.
Good effort. Hope you aren't disappointed in the loss. He showed well for what his positions were vis-a-vis the district. But doesn't this reaffirm the potential for more heady conservatives in similar districts, hope the socialists split their base in the primary then tact hard to the centre for the big win.
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