Senate: None
Legislature: Republicans +6 (+13%)
State Senate: Republicans +2 (+9%)
House: Democrats 8 Republicans 11
Redistricting: Democrats
If you think I’m pessimistic about Republicans’ chances in the House in Florida or Texas, skip this blog post. Republicans did take the senate seat in 2010, while picking up four congressional seats and retaining one, the 10th, that is now the Democratic seat the Republicans have. This is a blue state that Barack Obama makes bluer and the only state Democrats control redistricting that Republicans have any significant representation. In fact, this might be the only state Democrats are able to win seats with redistricting. Illinois loses a seat in 2012 and that almost certainly will come from the GOP. Going into 2010 Democrats held a 12-7 advantage and it’s not hard to see it being a 10-8 or 11-7 advantage after 2012. We’re talking a loss of 3 or 4 seats. If they only lose 2 that should be considered a victory.
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