Monday, June 6, 2016

CA Primary: Exit polls say Clinton by 12

Capitol Weekly has done an "exit" poll of VBM voters. Check out the map and see where each candidate has their strength. Hillary Clinton is winning urban areas in San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Sacramento, and San Diego, while Bernie Sanders is stronger in rural areas. Overall, Hillary Clinton leads by 12 points. If VBM voting is 65% of all ballots, Bernie Sanders would need to win on election day by 23% to win the primary. That's highly unlikely. I stand by my prediction of Clinton by 6%. If anything I think that's low and it could be 8-9%.

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