Saturday, January 7, 2012

Elton Gallegly Retiring

He's finally made up his mind. It's a little bit of a surprise since he indicated we'd be surprised where he was running, but Gallegly has wanted to retire for years. This'll open up CA-26 for either Tony Strickland or Linda Parks. If both run, it'd be an excellent test of my top two theory. There are currently five Democrats. If this district goes 47%D 47%R in June, it's possible the Democrats could finish 15%-11%-9%-8%-4%. If there are only two Republicans and they finish 28%-19%, they'll both advance. The GOP will win a swing district without competition in November.

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