Friday, January 27, 2012

California Friday morning notes

Today the California Supreme Court will decide which districts will be used for 2012. One of the issues is what "likely" means.

The Democrats finally have a candidate for the swingy 21st. Hernandez heads the Central California Hispanic Chamber of Commerce. That hardly sounds like a seasoned electoral veteran, but outsiders sell these days. I'll keep this one at Lean Republican.

The Democrats also have a candidate for the 42nd, Michael Williamson. This is a district Meg Whitman won 60%-33% and is a suicide mission for Williamson. I don't know why people run in these races. Is it really worth all your time and money?

Apparently, someone else figured out top 2. I thought I'd be the only one.

A group called Independent Voter Network has commissioned some polls. It mostly confirms my belief that Republicans will vote for Republicans and vice versa. It is worth noting, however, that adding a Democrat as an independent to the CA-30 race does suck more Republican voters away. In CA-52, the Democrat/independent takes Democratic voters.

California Republican Party Chairman Tom Del Beccaro has endorsed Tony Strickland for CA-26. This is a bit of a surprise. New party rules mean that it's unlikely the party will endorse any candidate. Del Beccaro's endorsement would seem to carry similar weight. It's not surprising that he'd endorse Strickland or that Strickland would be the first, and perhaps only, candidate Del Beccaro endorsed. Strickland is very close to party leadership.

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