Saturday, December 15, 2012

Districts Obama and Romney won

All the districts aren't calculated but I'm estimating Romney won 224 districts to Obama's 211. In addition I'm estimating that there will be roughly another 16 districts that'll be R+0.1 or greater that Obama won. While it's true Democrats do cluster a lot of this is due to Republican line drawing. Romney won 9 of 14 Michigan CDs. He won 7 of 11 in Virginia. I'm pretty sure he won 12 of 16 in Ohio, although OH-14 could've gone Obama.

I'm thinking that district 218 is going to be around R+2.6.

It'll be hard for the Democrats to win the House this decade.

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