Election Insights and Analysis

Democrats had a great election. Congratulations. They had had four consecutive mediocre to poor House elections and they were bound to hav...

Special thank you to Paul Mitchell and PDI , without whom I wouldn't have the data to interpret. When I present you the numbers and p...

Yesterday some counties reported a lot of ballots but some didn’t report any. Those include Los Angeles and San Diego. CA-7: Over 11k bal...

I’ve been getting feedback that I’m too optimistic for Republicans. What I’m trying to do here isn’t making predictions but show you the n...

The early VBM returns were so bad for California Democrats that it had to get better. Will it get better enough for them to take GOP distr...

Finally, a lot of the people who think the numbers are great for Republicans in FL/CA are focusing on GOP registration advantages. But th...

I've made an addition to the spreadsheet. The right hand column which shows you the difference between the partisan VBM advantage and ...